Sep 29, 2023
(9/29/23) Candy Corn martini's & market commentary; why Larry Fink won't be surprised with higher structural inflation: Permatory inflation. No one is ready for rates to be higher for longer. The uptick in 401-k loans and why we can't save: More credit card debt, car payments, and mortgage payments. Flaw in Secure Act...
Sep 28, 2023
(9/28/23) The second Republican debate, Halloween decorations, and a scary market: Understanding what drives the economy. Reviewing oil price history & how commodity prices are driven; markets cycle over time. the VIX & Market volatility: weaker prices = higher volatility. Looking for a reversal in the index...
Sep 28, 2023
(9/27/23) Volatility in the markets has been very suppressed of late, but that's changing. Weaker prices and the onset of the quarter's end has caused volatility to tick upward. An increase in the Volatility Index has coincided with the recent market sell-off. When the VIX becomes very over bought, it tends to...
Sep 27, 2023
(9/27/23) Is Costco's quarterly earnings report is cause for alarm? Consumer Confidence may be waning; Pessimism is returning as an early sign of economic slowdown. The past 8-sessions have been brutal, but within the "normal" range of an expected 5- to 10% correction. Market is up 11% for the year, driven by...
Sep 27, 2023
(9/27/23) The past 8-sessions have been brutal, but normal within the context of a need for a 5 to 10% correction. This seasonal pattern of Summer weakness will present the potential for a rally in the 4th quarter. The markets are over-sold, which could foretell a reflexive rally. Remember, this market is...